Workshop on projections

Decision makers need accurate projections of population health and welfare in order to assess the future need for health care. It is necessary to utilize the most accurate and reliable register and survey data sources, which cover the population. Advanced statistical methods are needed to combine different sources of information and to incorporate various sources of uncertainty inherent in all projections. A workshop to discuss different projection methods and how they can and have been used was organized on 17th September 2018 in Helsinki, Finland.

Presentations of the workshop are available through links below.

Hanna Tolonen (THL): Academy of Finland project "Projections of the burden of disease and disability in Finland - health policy prospects (PoDDy-HePo)".

Jukka Kontto (THL): Methods for population health projections.

Sanni-Sandra Hellman (Statistics Finland): The SISU microsimulation model: Analyzing the distributional effects of legislative reforms.

Jussi Tervola (THL): The effect of health care payment legislation on poverty measures in Finland - a simulation study.

Juha Honkatukia (THL): Projections for geographical areas, especially from the point of view of heath care.

Reijo Sund (University of Eastern Finland); Did the predictions come true?